Rotterdam
Mixed41
MED CONGESTION
Europe's largest port and primary delivery point for ICE Brent crude. A benchmark for European natural gas and heating oil. Congestion often reflects sanctions-related rerouting, European energy stockpiling, or North Sea supply disruptions.
Live Vessel Traffic
Tradeable Assets
How each asset relates to congestion at this port
Stocks
ZIM Integrated Shipping
Trans-Atlantic container exposure · less direct than LA/LB but still correlated
$29.19
▼ 0.65%
Star Bulk Carriers
Dry bulk flows through Rotterdam for European industrial demand
$29.54
▼ 1.20%
Futures
WTI Crude (futures)
Rotterdam is a key storage hub — tanker queues signal European supply changes
$92.41
▼ 2.33%
Natural Gas (futures)
European gas storage flows directly through Rotterdam terminals
$3.23
▼ 2.18%
Heating Oil (futures)
Rotterdam is a primary delivery point — heating oil is a direct read-through
$4.46
▼ 5.67%
Current Snapshot
212
Total Vessels
3
Anchored
1%
Anchored %
2.5
Avg Dwell (hrs)
Vessel Types
3 vessels anchored (1%)
Anchored vessels waiting to load exports — sustained elevation can signal production surplus or logistical constraint.
62th percentile vs the last 30 days
Tanker Fleet Status
Crude tankers
6
0 at anchor
LNG carriers
0
0 at anchor
0
Inbound empty
ballast · underway
1
Laden
carrying cargo
5
Ballast · anchored
empty · waiting
| Vessel | Status | Cargo | Draught | Destination | Speed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALVERDE | underway | Laden | 12.7m | NL RTM | — |
| MOINOS | underway | Ballast (Empty) | 1.6m | ROTTERDAM | 0.2kn |
| BOHEMIA II | moored | Ballast (Empty) | 2m | ROTTERDAM CALANDKANA | — |
| NV MARLIN | underway | Ballast (Empty) | 5.5m | NLRTM | 0.1kn |
| MANOUK III | moored | Ballast (Empty) | 4m | ROTTERDAM CALANDKANA | — |
| ES EL | underway | Ballast (Empty) | 0.1m | STELLENDAM | — |
Cargo status inferred from AIS-reported draught · ballast = empty inbound to load · laden = carrying cargo
Energy Fundamentals
EIA weekly · spreads calculated liveUS Crude Stocks
426,398k
bbls
+3.0M
BUILD
US commercial crude stocks — build = bearish, draw = bullish
Cushing Stocks
23,748k
bbls
+2.3M
BUILD
WTI delivery hub — high stocks suppress futures price
Brent-WTI Spread
$5.03
BZ − CL
Widening = logistics stress or US supply glut. Normal range $1–$5.
3-2-1 Crack Spread
$59.32
Refinery margin / bbl
High = strong product demand, bullish for crude. Low = demand weakness.
Freight Fundamentals
Baltic Dry · shipping equities · liveBaltic Dry Index
—
global dry-bulk freight
Rising = tighter shipping capacity, bullish for carriers. Falling = slack freight demand.
Shipping Equities
-0.93%
2-name avg · today
The equity market's read on freight conditions. Congestion at this port can lead carrier earnings and freight rates, often over a 5–10 day horizon.
History
Congestion score · grey band = 7d normal range · Vessel count (dashed) · ZIM price (purple)
Port Throughput
91
Currently in port
109
Completed calls
2.5h
Avg dwell time
| Vessel | Class | Arrived | Departed | Dwell |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COSCO SHIPPING LIBRA | container | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
| QUEBEC EXPRESS | unknown | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
| ELBIA | unknown | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
| RMS CUXHAVEN | unknown | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
| LIBRA (PILOTS) | unknown | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
| ESSENZA | unknown | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
| RWS 84 | unknown | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
| MAREA | container | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
| P93 | unknown | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
| MARTENS 5 | unknown | 2026-09-26 | 2026-09-26 | 2h |
Signal History
11d ago
Rotterdam Congestion Relief: Bearish freight
Rotterdam shows Congestion score 41 is 1.8σ below same-hour baseline (avg 70). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $29.57, -1.7% 5d).
Triggered By
Congestion score 41 is 1.8σ below same-hour baseline (avg 70)
Trade Idea
Short ZIM (currently $29.57, -1.7% 5d) while congestion holds below 41 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (11d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Congestion holds below 41 for 2+ consecutive polls
Invalidation
congestionScore reverts toward baseline (70) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $30.46
Horizon
1-2 weeks
Affected Assets
ZIM
$29.19
▼ 0.65%
closed
SBLK
$29.54
▼ 1.20%
closed
BOAT
—
SEA
—
⚠ A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
23d ago
Rotterdam Congestion Spike: Bullish freight
Rotterdam shows Congestion score 100 is 3.6σ above same-hour baseline (avg 44). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bullish read on ZIM (currently $27.595, -0.2% 5d).
Triggered By
Congestion score 100 is 3.6σ above same-hour baseline (avg 44)
Trade Idea
Long ZIM (currently $27.595, -0.2% 5d) while congestion holds above 100 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (23d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Congestion holds above 100 for 2+ consecutive polls
Invalidation
congestionScore reverts toward baseline (44) within 48h, or ZIM falls below $26.77
Horizon
1-2 weeks
Affected Assets
ZIM
$29.19
▼ 0.65%
closed
SBLK
$29.54
▼ 1.20%
closed
BOAT
—
SEA
—
⚠ A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
24d ago
Rotterdam Vessel Drop: Bearish freight
Rotterdam shows Vessel count 123 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 158). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $27.01, -4.8% 5d). Note: the asset has already moved in this direction over the past week, so part of the move may be priced in.
Triggered By
Vessel count 123 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 158)
Trade Idea
Short ZIM (currently $27.01, -4.8% 5d) while vessel count holds below 123 into the next poll; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (24d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Vessel count holds below 123 into the next poll
Invalidation
vesselCount reverts toward baseline (158) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $27.82
Horizon
1-2 weeks
Affected Assets
ZIM
$29.19
▼ 0.65%
closed
SBLK
$29.54
▼ 1.20%
closed
BOAT
—
SEA
—
⚠ Much of the move may already be priced in. A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
29d ago
Rotterdam Vessel Drop: Bearish freight
Rotterdam shows Vessel count 126 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 160). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $27.92, +2.8% 5d).
Triggered By
Vessel count 126 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 160)
Trade Idea
Short ZIM (currently $27.92, +2.8% 5d) while vessel count holds below 126 into the next poll; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (29d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Vessel count holds below 126 into the next poll
Invalidation
vesselCount reverts toward baseline (160) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $28.76
Horizon
1-2 weeks
Affected Assets
ZIM
$29.19
▼ 0.65%
closed
SBLK
$29.54
▼ 1.20%
closed
BOAT
—
SEA
—
⚠ A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
About Rotterdam
Why does Rotterdam port congestion matter for traders?
Europe's largest port and primary delivery point for ICE Brent crude. A benchmark for European natural gas and heating oil. Congestion often reflects sanctions-related rerouting, European energy stockpiling, or North Sea supply disruptions.
Which stocks, futures, and ETFs are correlated with Rotterdam?
HarborSignal tracks ZIM, SBLK, CL, NG, HO against Rotterdam vessel activity. Port flows tend to lead these markets by roughly 5–10 days.
How is Rotterdam congestion measured?
Vessel positions are collected hourly from AIS transponder data. A congestion score is derived from vessel count and the anchored ratio, then z-scored against a 30-day same-hour baseline to flag anomalies.