Signal Feed
AI briefs of port + price anomalies · directional accuracy tracked at 7-day close
Current MSI
Elevated stress driven by crude inventory draws — energy in focus
● Also in recent signals
● Also in recent signals
Win Rate
63%
24W · 14L
Avg Win
+4.6%
7-day return on correct calls
Avg Loss
-7.2%
7-day return on incorrect calls
Pending
0
38 resolved · 53 total
Win Rate by Port
Win Rate by Signal Type
Outcomes measured at 7-day close. Past performance does not predict future results.
| Time | Port | Signal | Conf. | Headline | Tickers | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d ago | Rotterdam | BULLISH | 68% | Rotterdam Max Congestion Surge: Bullish Energy & Shipping | SBLKZIMSEACL+4 | MISS -4.6% SBLK · 7d |
27d ago
Rotterdam Max Congestion Surge: Bullish Energy & Shipping
Rotterdam is registering a 4.4σ congestion spike at a perfect score of 100/100 with 998 vessels, a historically extreme reading that signals major disruption or demand surge at Europe's primary energy hub. Crude (CL +2.8% 1d), dry bulk (BDRY +18.2% 1d, SBLK +10.4% 1d), and BNO (+16.4% 1d) are already moving sharply, suggesting the physical market is beginning to price this in but freight rate equities may still have room to run given typical 5-10 day lag. Houston congestion also elevated at 2σ above baseline, corroborating a broader energy logistics tightening rather than an isolated Rotterdam event.
Triggered By
Congestion score 100 is 4.4σ above same-hour baseline (avg 42)
Trade Idea
Long SBLK given its explosive 1d and 5d momentum aligned with the BDRY surge; enter on any intraday pullback below $27.50 or on open if congestion holds at 100 in the next poll. Secondary long BOAT ETF for diversified shipping exposure. Target 1-2 week hold as freight rate repricing typically lags port data by 5-10 days.
Affected Assets
SBLK
—
ZIM
—
SEA
—
CL
—
NG
—
BNO
—
BOAT
—
BDRY
—
⚠ A sudden resolution of the congestion event (e.g., weather clearance, administrative bottleneck fix) or a macro risk-off shock driven by geopolitical de-escalation could rapidly unwind the energy and shipping premium built into current prices.
AI-generated signal · Claude Sonnet