HarborSignalHarborSignal
Live

Sabine Pass

Oil / LNG
USSAB

LOW CONGESTION

Cheniere Energy's Sabine Pass is the largest LNG export terminal in the Western Hemisphere. LNG carrier counts here are a leading indicator for Henry Hub natural gas prices and European/Asian LNG demand. High vessel traffic signals strong global LNG demand.

Live Vessel Traffic

Real-time AIS positions
Vessel positions at Sabine Pass
0 vessels · 0 anchored
anchoredunderwayOpen full map ↗

Tradeable Assets

Live prices · 5-min cache

How each asset relates to congestion at this port

Stocks

LNG
Primary

Cheniere Energy

Operates Sabine Pass terminal — most direct equity play on US LNG exports

$268.11

▲ 1.01%

GLNG
Primary

Golar LNG

LNG shipping and infrastructure — benefits from high export throughput

$51.07

▲ 0.45%

FLEX
Primary

Flex LNG

LNG carrier operator — more vessels loading = higher day rates

$124.53

▲ 1.73%

Futures

NG
Primary

Natural Gas (futures)

Export demand at Sabine Pass directly tightens Henry Hub supply

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

ETFs

UNG
ETF/Hedge

US Natural Gas ETF

ETF alternative to NG futures

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

Current Snapshot

1d ago
⚠
Low confidence data— failover source (VesselAPI): counts only, not baseline-comparable

36

Total Vessels

25

Anchored

69%

Anchored %

3.1

Avg Dwell (hrs)

⚓
Floating StorageELEVATED

25 vessels anchored (69%)

Anchored tankers holding crude or LNG offshore — elevated counts signal supply glut or demand shock, bullish for storage plays.

Congestion ScoreLOW · / 100
Low (0–30)Med (31–60)High (61–100)

Energy Fundamentals

EIA weekly · spreads calculated live

US Crude Stocks

424,410k

bbls

+17.4M

BUILD

US commercial crude stocks — build = bearish, draw = bullish

Cushing Stocks

22,566k

bbls

+1.6M

BUILD

WTI delivery hub — high stocks suppress futures price

Brent-WTI Spread

$5.74

BZ − CL

WIDE

Widening = logistics stress or US supply glut. Normal range $1–$5.

3-2-1 Crack Spread

$56.20

Refinery margin / bbl

STRONG

High = strong product demand, bullish for crude. Low = demand weakness.

CL
$82.14▼ 1.27%
BZ
$87.88▼ 1.16%
NG
$2.79▲ 0.83%
HO
$4.14▼ 2.68%
RB
$2.87▼ 8.45%

History

LNG overlayDeep compare →

Congestion score · grey band = 7d normal range · Vessel count (dashed) · LNG price (purple)

Lead-lag: over the last 30 days, Sabine Pass congestion led LNG by 1 day · r = -0.58 (strong inverse) · 10-day sample, directional not predictive

Port Throughput

30-day vessel calls

37

Currently in port

163

Completed calls

3.1h

Avg dwell time

VesselClassArrivedDepartedDwell
CAPT.TIMMY LEAunknown2026-08-052026-08-052h
BUD GOLDINGunknown2026-08-052026-08-052h
PETER BRENT ICEunknown2026-08-052026-08-052h
RALPH Cunknown2026-08-052026-08-052h
SAFETY FIRSTunknown2026-08-052026-08-052h
TERRY FONTENOTunknown2026-08-052026-08-052h
SABINEunknown2026-08-052026-08-052h
PORT NECHESother2026-08-052026-08-052h
RAM VIIunknown2026-08-052026-08-052h
GEORGE ROWEother2026-08-052026-08-052h

Signal History

11 signals · 30 days
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

8d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Relief: Bearish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 27 is 2.4σ below same-hour baseline (avg 51). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on NG (currently $6.25, +7.4% 5d).

Triggered By

▼

Congestion score 27 is 2.4σ below same-hour baseline (avg 51)

Trade Idea

Short NG (currently $6.25, +7.4% 5d) while congestion holds below 27 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (8d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds below 27 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (51) within 48h, or NG rises above $6.44

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

9d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Relief: Bearish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 29 is 3σ below same-hour baseline (avg 52). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on NG (currently $5.83, -1.7% 5d).

Triggered By

▼

Congestion score 29 is 3σ below same-hour baseline (avg 52)

Trade Idea

Short NG (currently $5.83, -1.7% 5d) while congestion holds below 29 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (9d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds below 29 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (52) within 48h, or NG rises above $6

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BULLISH●○○ Single trigger

11d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Spike: Bullish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 77 is 2.6σ above same-hour baseline (avg 51). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bullish read on LNG (currently $263.57, -2.3% 5d).

Triggered By

▲

Congestion score 77 is 2.6σ above same-hour baseline (avg 51)

Trade Idea

Long LNG (currently $263.57, -2.3% 5d) while congestion holds above 77 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (11d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds above 77 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (51) within 48h, or LNG falls below $255.66

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

LNG

$268.11

▲ 1.01%

closed

GLNG

$51.07

▲ 0.45%

closed

FLEX

$124.53

▲ 1.73%

closed

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BULLISH●○○ Single trigger

12d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Spike: Bullish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 74 is 2.4σ above same-hour baseline (avg 52). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bullish read on LNG (currently $261.61, -3% 5d).

Triggered By

▲

Congestion score 74 is 2.4σ above same-hour baseline (avg 52)

Trade Idea

Long LNG (currently $261.61, -3% 5d) while congestion holds above 74 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (12d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds above 74 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (52) within 48h, or LNG falls below $253.76

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

LNG

$268.11

▲ 1.01%

closed

GLNG

$51.07

▲ 0.45%

closed

FLEX

$124.53

▲ 1.73%

closed

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

13d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Relief: Bearish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 18 is 2.4σ below same-hour baseline (avg 47). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on NG (currently $5.79, -6.8% 5d). Note: the asset has already moved in this direction over the past week, so part of the move may be priced in.

Triggered By

▼

Congestion score 18 is 2.4σ below same-hour baseline (avg 47)

Trade Idea

Short NG (currently $5.79, -6.8% 5d) while congestion holds below 18 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (13d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds below 18 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (47) within 48h, or NG rises above $5.96

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ Much of the move may already be priced in. An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

14d ago

Sabine Pass Vessel Drop: Bearish energy

Sabine Pass shows Vessel count 86 is 1.7σ below same-hour baseline (avg 108). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on NG (currently $5.82, +3.4% 5d).

Triggered By

▼

Vessel count 86 is 1.7σ below same-hour baseline (avg 108)

Trade Idea

Short NG (currently $5.82, +3.4% 5d) while vessel count holds below 86 into the next poll; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (14d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Vessel count holds below 86 into the next poll

Invalidation

vesselCount reverts toward baseline (108) within 48h, or NG rises above $5.99

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BULLISH●○○ Single trigger

16d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Spike: Bullish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 77 is 2.1σ above same-hour baseline (avg 47). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bullish read on LNG (currently $255.88, -3.4% 5d).

Triggered By

▲

Congestion score 77 is 2.1σ above same-hour baseline (avg 47)

Trade Idea

Long LNG (currently $255.88, -3.4% 5d) while congestion holds above 77 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (16d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds above 77 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (47) within 48h, or LNG falls below $248.2

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

LNG

$268.11

▲ 1.01%

closed

GLNG

$51.07

▲ 0.45%

closed

FLEX

$124.53

▲ 1.73%

closed

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BULLISH●○○ Single trigger

18d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Spike: Bullish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 69 is 1.8σ above same-hour baseline (avg 45). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bullish read on LNG (currently $269.72, +2.7% 5d).

Triggered By

▲

Congestion score 69 is 1.8σ above same-hour baseline (avg 45)

Trade Idea

Long LNG (currently $269.72, +2.7% 5d) while congestion holds above 69 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (18d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds above 69 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (45) within 48h, or LNG falls below $261.63

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

LNG

$268.11

▲ 1.01%

closed

GLNG

$51.07

▲ 0.45%

closed

FLEX

$124.53

▲ 1.73%

closed

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

20d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Relief: Bearish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 7 is 2.4σ below same-hour baseline (avg 38). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on NG (currently $6.14, +15.2% 5d).

Triggered By

▼

Congestion score 7 is 2.4σ below same-hour baseline (avg 38)

Trade Idea

Short NG (currently $6.14, +15.2% 5d) while congestion holds below 7 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (20d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds below 7 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (38) within 48h, or NG rises above $6.32

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BULLISH●○○ Single trigger

24d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Spike: Bullish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 70 is 1.7σ above same-hour baseline (avg 45). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bullish read on LNG (currently $262.6, +1.5% 5d).

Triggered By

▲

Congestion score 70 is 1.7σ above same-hour baseline (avg 45)

Trade Idea

Long LNG (currently $262.6, +1.5% 5d) while congestion holds above 70 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (24d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds above 70 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (45) within 48h, or LNG falls below $254.72

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

LNG

$268.11

▲ 1.01%

closed

GLNG

$51.07

▲ 0.45%

closed

FLEX

$124.53

▲ 1.73%

closed

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

29d ago

Sabine Pass Congestion Relief: Bearish energy

Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 3 is 2.5σ below same-hour baseline (avg 37). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on NG (currently $5.84, -9.6% 5d). Note: the asset has already moved in this direction over the past week, so part of the move may be priced in.

Triggered By

▼

Congestion score 3 is 2.5σ below same-hour baseline (avg 37)

Trade Idea

Short NG (currently $5.84, -9.6% 5d) while congestion holds below 3 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (29d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds below 3 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (37) within 48h, or NG rises above $6.02

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

NG

$2.79

▲ 0.83%

UNG

$10.20

▲ 1.29%

closed

⚠ Much of the move may already be priced in. An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →

About Sabine Pass

Why does Sabine Pass port congestion matter for traders?

Cheniere Energy's Sabine Pass is the largest LNG export terminal in the Western Hemisphere. LNG carrier counts here are a leading indicator for Henry Hub natural gas prices and European/Asian LNG demand. High vessel traffic signals strong global LNG demand.

Which stocks, futures, and ETFs are correlated with Sabine Pass?

HarborSignal tracks LNG, GLNG, FLEX, NG, UNG against Sabine Pass vessel activity. Port flows tend to lead these markets by roughly 5–10 days.

How is Sabine Pass congestion measured?

Vessel positions are collected hourly from AIS transponder data. A congestion score is derived from vessel count and the anchored ratio, then z-scored against a 30-day same-hour baseline to flag anomalies.