26d ago
Los Angeles Congestion Relief: Bearish container shipping
Los Angeles / Long Beach shows Congestion score 28 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 50). This typically leads container shipping markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $24.145, +0.7% 5d).
Triggered By
Congestion score 28 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 50)
Trade Idea
Short ZIM (currently $24.145, +0.7% 5d) while congestion holds below 28 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads container shipping by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (26d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Congestion holds below 28 for 2+ consecutive polls
Invalidation
congestionScore reverts toward baseline (50) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $24.87
Horizon
1-2 weeks
Affected Assets
ZIM
—
MATX
—
CHRW
—
BOAT
—
SEA
—
⚠ A broad risk-off move or weakening import demand could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
Port Activity at Signal Time
14-day historyVessels
56
Anchored
9
Congestion
32/100
Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory
Permanent link to this signal
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