3d ago
Singapore Congestion Spike: Bullish energy
Singapore shows Congestion score 100 is 4.6σ above same-hour baseline (avg 53). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bullish read on FLEX (currently $114.45, +5.7% 5d). Note: the asset has already moved in this direction over the past week, so part of the move may be priced in.
Triggered By
Congestion score 100 is 4.6σ above same-hour baseline (avg 53)
Trade Idea
Long FLEX (currently $114.45, +5.7% 5d) while congestion holds above 100 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (3d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Congestion holds above 100 for 2+ consecutive polls
Invalidation
congestionScore reverts toward baseline (53) within 48h, or FLEX falls below $111.02
Horizon
3-7 days
Affected Assets
FLEX
—
GLNG
—
CL
—
NG
—
⚠ Much of the move may already be priced in. An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
Outcome pending — measured at 7-day close
Port Activity at Signal Time
14-day historyVessels
400
Anchored
69
Congestion
95/100
Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory
Permanent link to this signal
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