Houston Congestion Relief: Bearish energy — HarborSignal

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BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

18d ago

Houston Congestion Relief: Bearish energy

Houston shows Congestion score 25 is 2.3σ below same-hour baseline (avg 50). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on CL (currently $90.75, -2.4% 5d).

Triggered By

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Congestion score 25 is 2.3σ below same-hour baseline (avg 50)

Trade Idea

Short CL (currently $90.75, -2.4% 5d) while congestion holds below 25 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (18d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds below 25 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (50) within 48h, or CL rises above $93.47

Horizon

3-7 days

Affected Assets

—

USO

—

UNG

—

XLE

—

⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →

✓ HIT·CL·-2.7% 7dEntry $82.61 → Exit $80.34

Port Activity at Signal Time

14-day history

Vessels

182

Anchored

Congestion

97/100

Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory

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Permanent link to this signal

/signals/USHOU/2026-07-25T16:03:03.543Z

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