3d ago
Houston Congestion Relief: Bearish energy
Houston shows Congestion score 31 is 1.8σ below same-hour baseline (avg 54). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on CL (currently $86.705, -0.3% 5d).
Triggered By
Congestion score 31 is 1.8σ below same-hour baseline (avg 54)
Trade Idea
Short CL (currently $86.705, -0.3% 5d) while congestion holds below 31 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (3d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Congestion holds below 31 for 2+ consecutive polls
Invalidation
congestionScore reverts toward baseline (54) within 48h, or CL rises above $89.31
Horizon
3-7 days
Affected Assets
CL
—
NG
—
RB
—
USO
—
UNG
—
XLE
—
⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
Outcome pending — measured at 7-day close
Port Activity at Signal Time
14-day historyVessels
158
Anchored
10
Congestion
64/100
Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory
Permanent link to this signal
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