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SignalsRotterdamRotterdam Vessel Drop: Bearish freight
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

26d ago

Rotterdam Vessel Drop: Bearish freight

Rotterdam shows Vessel count 138 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 163). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $24.27, +1.3% 5d).

Triggered By

Vessel count 138 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 163)

Trade Idea

Short ZIM (currently $24.27, +1.3% 5d) while vessel count holds below 138 into the next poll; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (26d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Vessel count holds below 138 into the next poll

Invalidation

vesselCount reverts toward baseline (163) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $25

Horizon

1-2 weeks

Affected Assets

ZIM

SBLK

BOAT

SEA

A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

✗ MISS·ZIM·+2.5% 7dEntry $24.30 → Exit $24.90

Port Activity at Signal Time

Vessels

153

Anchored

1

Congestion

36/100

Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory

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Permanent link to this signal

/signals/NLRTM/2026-07-17T17:03:04.561Z

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