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SignalsRotterdamRotterdam Congestion Relief: Bearish freight
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

20d ago

Rotterdam Congestion Relief: Bearish freight

Rotterdam shows Congestion score 0 is 1.9σ below same-hour baseline (avg 45). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $25.07, +2.3% 5d).

Triggered By

Congestion score 0 is 1.9σ below same-hour baseline (avg 45)

Trade Idea

Short ZIM (currently $25.07, +2.3% 5d) while congestion holds below 0 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (20d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds below 0 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (45) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $25.82

Horizon

1-2 weeks

Affected Assets

ZIM

SBLK

BOAT

SEA

A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

✓ HIT·ZIM·-3.4% 7dEntry $25.59 → Exit $24.73

Port Activity at Signal Time

Vessels

153

Anchored

1

Congestion

36/100

Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory

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Permanent link to this signal

/signals/NLRTM/2026-07-23T13:45:24.045Z

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