18d ago
Rotterdam Congestion Spike: Bullish freight
Rotterdam shows Congestion score 63 is 2.3σ above same-hour baseline (avg 53). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bullish read on ZIM (currently $24.9, +2.5% 5d).
Triggered By
Congestion score 63 is 2.3σ above same-hour baseline (avg 53)
Trade Idea
Long ZIM (currently $24.9, +2.5% 5d) while congestion holds above 63 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (18d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Congestion holds above 63 for 2+ consecutive polls
Invalidation
congestionScore reverts toward baseline (53) within 48h, or ZIM falls below $24.15
Horizon
1-2 weeks
Affected Assets
ZIM
—
SBLK
—
BOAT
—
SEA
—
⚠ A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
Port Activity at Signal Time
14-day historyVessels
153
Anchored
1
Congestion
36/100
Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory
Permanent link to this signal
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