16d ago
Rotterdam Congestion Relief: Bearish freight
Rotterdam shows Congestion score 40 is 2.2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 55). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $24.9, +2.5% 5d).
Triggered By
Congestion score 40 is 2.2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 55)
Trade Idea
Short ZIM (currently $24.9, +2.5% 5d) while congestion holds below 40 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (16d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Congestion holds below 40 for 2+ consecutive polls
Invalidation
congestionScore reverts toward baseline (55) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $25.65
Horizon
1-2 weeks
Affected Assets
ZIM
—
SBLK
—
BOAT
—
SEA
—
⚠ A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
Port Activity at Signal Time
14-day historyVessels
153
Anchored
1
Congestion
36/100
Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory
Permanent link to this signal
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