9d ago
Rotterdam Vessel Drop: Bearish freight
Rotterdam shows Vessel count 151 is 1.8σ below same-hour baseline (avg 184). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $26.07, +6.1% 5d).
Triggered By
Vessel count 151 is 1.8σ below same-hour baseline (avg 184)
Trade Idea
Short ZIM (currently $26.07, +6.1% 5d) while vessel count holds below 151 into the next poll; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (9d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Vessel count holds below 151 into the next poll
Invalidation
vesselCount reverts toward baseline (184) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $26.85
Horizon
1-2 weeks
Affected Assets
ZIM
—
SBLK
—
BOAT
—
SEA
—
⚠ A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
Port Activity at Signal Time
14-day historyVessels
151
Anchored
1
Congestion
36/100
Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory
Permanent link to this signal
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