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Signals›Rotterdam›Rotterdam Vessel Drop: Bearish freight
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

29d ago

Rotterdam Vessel Drop: Bearish freight

Rotterdam shows Vessel count 126 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 160). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $27.92, +2.8% 5d).

Triggered By

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Vessel count 126 is 2σ below same-hour baseline (avg 160)

Trade Idea

Short ZIM (currently $27.92, +2.8% 5d) while vessel count holds below 126 into the next poll; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (29d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Vessel count holds below 126 into the next poll

Invalidation

vesselCount reverts toward baseline (160) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $28.76

Horizon

1-2 weeks

Affected Assets

ZIM

—

SBLK

—

BOAT

—

SEA

—

⚠ A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

✗ MISS·ZIM·+4.2% 7dEntry $27.44 → Exit $28.58

Port Activity at Signal Time

Vessels

208

Anchored

4

Congestion

31/100

Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory

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Permanent link to this signal

/signals/NLRTM/2026-08-28T09:03:03.122Z

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