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Signals›Rotterdam›Rotterdam Congestion Relief: Bearish freight
BEARISH●○○ Single trigger

11d ago

Rotterdam Congestion Relief: Bearish freight

Rotterdam shows Congestion score 41 is 1.8σ below same-hour baseline (avg 70). This typically leads freight markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on ZIM (currently $29.57, -1.7% 5d).

Triggered By

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Congestion score 41 is 1.8σ below same-hour baseline (avg 70)

Trade Idea

Short ZIM (currently $29.57, -1.7% 5d) while congestion holds below 41 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 1-2 weeks hold as port data typically leads freight by ~5-10 days.

Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (11d ago) — check the live tape before acting.

Entry

Congestion holds below 41 for 2+ consecutive polls

Invalidation

congestionScore reverts toward baseline (70) within 48h, or ZIM rises above $30.46

Horizon

1-2 weeks

Affected Assets

ZIM

—

SBLK

—

BOAT

—

SEA

—

⚠ A broad risk-off move or an energy-policy shift could override this port-level signal.

Systematic signal · rule-based engine

Track record →View detail →
✗ MISS·ZIM·+3.2% 7dEntry $29.57 → Exit $30.51

Port Activity at Signal Time

14-day history

Vessels

208

Anchored

4

Congestion

31/100

Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory

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Permanent link to this signal

/signals/NLRTM/2026-09-15T20:03:03.908Z

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