8d ago
Sabine Pass Congestion Relief: Bearish energy
Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 27 is 2.4σ below same-hour baseline (avg 51). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bearish read on NG (currently $6.25, +7.4% 5d).
Triggered By
Congestion score 27 is 2.4σ below same-hour baseline (avg 51)
Trade Idea
Short NG (currently $6.25, +7.4% 5d) while congestion holds below 27 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (8d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Congestion holds below 27 for 2+ consecutive polls
Invalidation
congestionScore reverts toward baseline (51) within 48h, or NG rises above $6.44
Horizon
3-7 days
Affected Assets
NG
—
UNG
—
⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
Port Activity at Signal Time
14-day historyVessels
86
Anchored
0
Congestion
27/100
Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory
Permanent link to this signal
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