23d ago
Sabine Pass Congestion Spike: Bullish energy
Sabine Pass shows Congestion score 100 is 4.4σ above same-hour baseline (avg 41). This typically leads energy markets by 5-10 days, supporting a bullish read on LNG (currently $294.58, +3.7% 5d).
Triggered By
Congestion score 100 is 4.4σ above same-hour baseline (avg 41)
Trade Idea
Long LNG (currently $294.58, +3.7% 5d) while congestion holds above 100 for 2+ consecutive polls; target a 3-7 days hold as port data typically leads energy by ~5-10 days.
Any prices referenced are as of the signal time (23d ago) — check the live tape before acting.
Entry
Congestion holds above 100 for 2+ consecutive polls
Invalidation
congestionScore reverts toward baseline (41) within 48h, or LNG falls below $285.74
Horizon
3-7 days
Affected Assets
LNG
—
GLNG
—
FLEX
—
NG
—
UNG
—
⚠ An OPEC+ guidance change or macro demand shock could override this port-level signal.
Systematic signal · rule-based engine
Port Activity at Signal Time
14-day historyVessels
143
Anchored
9
Congestion
51/100
Shaded band = rolling 7-day avg ± 1σ · breaks outside band = anomaly territory
Permanent link to this signal
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